Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 127.307635 140.500428 154.051967 168.984575 184.949108 201.477850 219.856288
2024-11-03 110.213992 130.322834 151.986830 176.939762 204.764104 234.715719 269.271592
2024-11-10 95.268938 120.250231 148.382293 182.103061 221.112406 264.516395 316.147291
2024-11-17 83.590721 112.181841 145.722933 187.390550 237.165783 294.132596 363.648476
2024-11-24 74.557563 105.970769 144.237076 193.323909 253.634878 324.350600 412.520211
2024-12-01 61.962114 93.756909 134.084803 187.579319 255.222537 336.482980 439.971253
2024-12-08 52.918849 85.000331 127.263584 185.069842 260.069339 352.107389 471.491055
2024-12-15 46.874664 79.543057 124.081730 186.673848 269.714661 373.491608 510.198076
2024-12-22 42.102669 75.288813 122.016204 189.342406 280.484257 396.247865 550.835994
2024-12-29 39.269191 73.528575 123.133534 196.136724 296.646797 426.033418 600.751424
2025-01-05 36.218915 71.066692 122.958717 200.941477 310.086419 452.414758 646.665480
2025-01-12 32.071172 66.381059 119.110338 200.203277 315.751116 468.539409 679.449440
2025-01-19 28.324612 62.017158 115.519554 199.756221 321.953912 485.774888 714.449415
2025-01-26 26.541685 60.817414 116.684218 206.276106 338.055015 516.591147 767.923848
2025-02-02 24.461566 58.845629 116.453578 210.619639 351.110120 543.499260 816.658872
2025-02-09 22.730507 57.298296 116.745548 215.665633 365.196737 571.981899 867.869934
2025-02-16 21.347422 56.244053 117.736872 221.751971 380.872100 602.872361 922.752712
2025-02-23 17.971347 50.797448 110.888965 215.126150 377.497748 607.064200 941.302911
2025-03-02 15.583362 47.008156 106.559194 212.197220 379.379754 618.485372 969.737960
2025-03-09 14.107218 44.964804 105.148762 213.880793 388.175658 639.760431 1011.980033
2025-03-16 12.931974 43.427373 104.524229 216.776512 398.818962 663.779731 1058.295296
2025-03-23 12.410349 43.352159 106.597593 224.243860 416.659440 698.410778 1119.860943
2025-03-30 11.669725 42.642390 107.397259 229.523732 431.149778 728.350935 1175.157069